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Zeitpunkt              Nutzer    Delta   Tröts        TNR     Titel                     Version  maxTL
Fr 19.07.2024 00:00:32   183.095       0    5.954.327    32,5 Mastodon                  4.2.10     500
Do 18.07.2024 23:59:09   183.095       0    5.954.327    32,5 Mastodon                  4.2.10     500
Do 18.07.2024 23:59:09   183.095       0    5.954.327    32,5 Mastodon                  4.2.10     500
Do 18.07.2024 23:59:08   183.095       0    5.954.327    32,5 Mastodon                  4.2.10     500
Do 18.07.2024 23:59:08   183.095       0    5.954.327    32,5 Mastodon                  4.2.10     500
Do 18.07.2024 23:59:08   183.095       0    5.954.327    32,5 Mastodon                  4.2.10     500
Do 18.07.2024 23:59:07   183.095       0    5.954.327    32,5 Mastodon                  4.2.10     500
Do 18.07.2024 23:58:18   183.095       0    5.954.327    32,5 Mastodon                  4.2.10     500
Do 18.07.2024 23:57:36   183.095       0    5.954.327    32,5 Mastodon                  4.2.10     500
Do 18.07.2024 23:57:36   183.095       0    5.954.327    32,5 Mastodon                  4.2.10     500

Fr 19.07.2024 12:23

In the last 48 hours, betting markets suggest Trump's chance of winning has slipped from ~70% to ~60%, as Biden's chance of being nominee has gone from ~70% to ~20%. Each time Biden is rated more likely to go forward, Trump's chances increase. Feels like if Biden is the candidate in November, Trump might then be ~85% likely to win but against any other candidate he's ~55%. Guessing the pro Biden camp don't accept these numbers; it is only what the market thinks

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