Zeitpunkt Nutzer Delta Tröts TNR Titel Version maxTL Sa 17.08.2024 00:00:03 183.314 +6 6.133.988 33,5 Mastodon 4.2.10 500 Fr 16.08.2024 00:00:13 183.308 +9 6.127.391 33,4 Mastodon 4.2.10 500 Do 15.08.2024 00:01:15 183.299 +4 6.120.544 33,4 Mastodon 4.2.10 500 Mi 14.08.2024 00:00:06 183.295 +5 6.113.764 33,4 Mastodon 4.2.10 500 Di 13.08.2024 00:00:00 183.290 +2 6.105.781 33,3 Mastodon 4.2.10 500 Mo 12.08.2024 00:00:12 183.288 +7 6.098.744 33,3 Mastodon 4.2.10 500 So 11.08.2024 00:00:19 183.281 +8 6.091.513 33,2 Mastodon 4.2.10 500 Sa 10.08.2024 00:01:07 183.273 +13 6.084.929 33,2 Mastodon 4.2.10 500 Fr 09.08.2024 00:00:03 183.260 +11 6.092.139 33,2 Mastodon 4.2.10 500 Do 08.08.2024 00:00:01 183.249 0 6.084.198 33,2 Mastodon 4.2.10 500
Tomi T Ahonen For Harris-Walz (@tomiahonen) · 07/2023 · Tröts: 12.196 · Folger: 2.327
Sa 17.08.2024 23:55
So for context about my forecast today, some campaigns have huge swings because of some event - Obama vs Romney debate - that of course are unforeseeable
But if the race is about 4.4% on Nov 5, we have a Biden-Trump level big win
If the race is 7.3% on that day, it is Obama-McCain level rout
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