Zeitpunkt Nutzer Delta Tröts TNR Titel Version maxTL Mi 17.07.2024 00:01:10 61.956 -1 3.550.157 57,3 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Di 16.07.2024 00:00:36 61.957 +6 3.547.999 57,3 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Mo 15.07.2024 00:00:01 61.951 +1 3.544.794 57,2 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 So 14.07.2024 00:00:00 61.950 +2 3.542.390 57,2 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Sa 13.07.2024 00:00:08 61.948 +1 3.539.632 57,1 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Fr 12.07.2024 00:01:45 61.947 +6 3.537.376 57,1 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Do 11.07.2024 00:00:37 61.941 +12 3.533.951 57,1 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Mi 10.07.2024 00:00:53 61.929 +5 3.530.507 57,0 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Di 09.07.2024 00:00:08 61.924 +2 3.527.175 57,0 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Mo 08.07.2024 00:00:19 61.922 0 3.524.369 56,9 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500
Achim Zeileis (@zeileis) · 11/2022 · Tröts: 626 · Folger: 856
Mi 17.07.2024 12:01
The spineplot (flavor of stacked barplot) shows how the observed proportions of win/draw/lose for the stronger team changes with our predicted goal difference.
Again, by and large, the observations and predictions align very well.
Spineplot of match result (win/draw/loss for the stronger team) vs. predicted goal difference. As expected, the probability to win increases with the predicted goal difference while the probability to lose decreases.
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