Zeitpunkt Nutzer Delta Tröts TNR Titel Version maxTL Mi 17.07.2024 00:01:10 61.956 -1 3.550.157 57,3 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Di 16.07.2024 00:00:36 61.957 +6 3.547.999 57,3 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Mo 15.07.2024 00:00:01 61.951 +1 3.544.794 57,2 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 So 14.07.2024 00:00:00 61.950 +2 3.542.390 57,2 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Sa 13.07.2024 00:00:08 61.948 +1 3.539.632 57,1 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Fr 12.07.2024 00:01:45 61.947 +6 3.537.376 57,1 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Do 11.07.2024 00:00:37 61.941 +12 3.533.951 57,1 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Mi 10.07.2024 00:00:53 61.929 +5 3.530.507 57,0 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Di 09.07.2024 00:00:08 61.924 +2 3.527.175 57,0 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500 Mo 08.07.2024 00:00:19 61.922 0 3.524.369 56,9 Fosstodon 4.2.10 500
Achim Zeileis (@zeileis) · 11/2022 · Tröts: 625 · Folger: 856
Mi 17.07.2024 11:51
⚽ Brief evaluation of our #EURO2024 probabilistic machine learning forecast.
By and large the predictions fit the actual outcome reasonably well. 3 out of 4 semifinalists were correct.
But 🇪🇸 (ranked 4th by us) turned out to be even stronger, beating all teams ranked 1st, 2nd, 3rd in the knockout stage.
📊 Barplot comparing the predicted winning probabilities with the actual results:
Media: Gifv
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