Zeitpunkt Nutzer Delta Tröts TNR Titel Version maxTL Mi 31.07.2024 00:00:31 9.879 +2 556.975 56,4 Climate Justice Social 4.2.1... 5.000 Di 30.07.2024 00:00:30 9.877 +1 555.902 56,3 Climate Justice Social 4.2.1... 5.000 Mo 29.07.2024 00:01:12 9.876 0 555.053 56,2 Climate Justice Social 4.2.1... 5.000 So 28.07.2024 00:00:27 9.876 +1 554.241 56,1 Climate Justice Social 4.2.1... 5.000 Sa 27.07.2024 00:01:12 9.875 +1 553.191 56,0 Climate Justice Social 4.2.1... 5.000 Fr 26.07.2024 00:01:08 9.874 +2 552.199 55,9 Climate Justice Social 4.2.1... 5.000 Do 25.07.2024 00:00:00 9.872 0 550.974 55,8 Climate Justice Social 4.2.1... 5.000 Mi 24.07.2024 00:01:07 9.872 +1 550.210 55,7 Climate Justice Social 4.2.1... 5.000 Di 23.07.2024 00:01:01 9.871 0 549.028 55,6 Climate Justice Social 4.2.1... 5.000 Mo 22.07.2024 00:00:33 9.871 0 548.116 55,5 Climate Justice Social 4.2.1... 5.000
(@anlomedad) · 11/2022 · Tröts: 3.694 · Folger: 562
Mi 31.07.2024 06:28
Why we are leaving for unchartered territory:
" Statistics from three decades ago no longer represent what is possible in the present day.
The rapidly changing climate means we have not necessarily experienced the extremes that modern-day atmospheric and oceanic warmth can produce. In a stable climate, scientists would have multiple decades for the atmosphere to get into its various configurations and drive extreme events, such as heatwaves, floods or droughts. We could then use these observations to build up an understanding of what the climate is capable of. But in our rapidly changing climate, we effectively have only a few years – not enough to experience everything the climate has to offer.
...
When 40°C first appeared in ensemble forecasts for the UK before the July 2022 heatwave, it revealed the kind of extreme weather that is possible in the current climate. Even if it had not come to fruition, its mere appearance in the models showed that the previously unthinkable was now possible. "
The last paragraph means, especially the outliers in weather forecast ensembles are showing us what is possible in our location [in 2024]. Interesting. https://theconversation.com/the-climate-is-changing-so-fast-that-we-havent-seen-how-bad-extreme-weather-could-get-235726
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